Thursday, July 14, 2005

What the Republican Party Chairman will be saying about gay marriage in 30 years

It's the same thing that the current chairman is saying about the Republican's "Southern Strategy" developed 30 years ago to win racist white Southern voter support at the expense of minorities:

Some Republicans gave up on winning the African American vote, looking the other way or trying to benefit politically from racial polarization. I am here today as the Republican Chairman to tell you we were wrong.

But if my party benefited from racial polarization in the past, it is the Democratic Party that benefits from it today.

I know it is not in my interest as chairman of the Republican Party for close to 90% of African-Americans to vote for the Democrat every election.

Karl Rove, and every Republican analyst less than 40 years old, knows this speech will happen one day about gay marriage and Republican homophobia. What they misunderstand is the timeline. They think that for 20 years, they'll benefit from gay-bashing, for five years it will have neutral political value, and then they will instantly drop the gay-marriage opposition when the polls say it harms them politically.

The actual timeline is that they'll benefit politically for another five years, it won't help or harm them much overall for ten years past that, and then for fifteen years it'll hurt them as they fight the fundamentalist dinosaurs in their party before they can finally get rid of the anti-gay marriage plank of the Republican Party platform.

politics, homosexuality

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