Friday, February 02, 2007

January 2007 Iraq casualties

Avg. daily Coalition fatality rate during the last month: 2.81
(nearly all Americans, and excluding Iraqis)

Previous averages
December 2006:
November: 2.57

Last year, January 2006: 2.06.

Overall daily average to date is 2.36. Total US dead as of today: 3093.

Iraqi monthly military and police fatalities: 91.

Previous military/police fatality rates
December 2006: 123
November: 123

Last year, January 2006: 189.
Total Iraqi military dead: 6034.

Note that I've seen media reports suggesting the Iraqi military casualty figures are signficant undercounts.

Iraqi monthly civilian fatalities: 1711

December: 1,629
November: 1,741

Last year, January 2006: 590.

To-date civilian total, begining in March 2005: 24,040. Note that the civilian numbers are far less accurate than others (most likely to be greatly underestimated, or even ridiculously underestimated), but could still be useful in determining trends.

Comments: Now five months in a row with American casualties above average, no prior bad stretch lasted longer than three months. Continuing a trend found in recent months, Iraqi military fatality rates continue to be low, more evidence that they're sitting out the civil war. Also as before, civilian casualties remain terrible.

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